Private Farm Insurance in Ontario's Hard-to-Soft Market Shift (2025-2026 Trends)

Hard-to-Soft Market Shift

5/9/20261 min read

a red and white atm sign next to a white fence
a red and white atm sign next to a white fence

Private Farm Insurance in Ontario's Hard-to-Soft Market Shift (2025-2026 Trends)

Ontario farm owners have navigated a punishing "hard market" through 2025, with private insurance premiums surging due to reinsurance shortages, inflation-driven rebuild costs, and record weather catastrophes like wildfires and storms. Commercial farm policies covering property, liability, equipment, and business interruption. Saw double-digit hikes, as carriers tightened terms amid claims from snow loads, floods, and hail. Smaller farms struggled most, often underinsured as values outpaced policy limits.

Private coverage fills gaps left by government programs like Agricorp's Risk Management Program (RMP), which stabilizes revenue but ignores physical assets or operational downtime. Key private needs include:

Property and equipment: High-value machinery and barns, vulnerable to theft or breakdown.

Liability and cyber: Expanding for agritourism, on-farm processing, and digital farm tech.

Business interruption: Lost income from supply chain breaks or weather shutdowns.

2026 Softening Trend Emerges

Early 2026 signals relief: Canada's commercial market softened with -3% rates in Q3 2025 (Marsh data), extending seven quarters of declines from increased insurer competition, abundant capacity, and falling reinsurance costs. Farm/property lines may stabilize or dip, though high-risk zones face higher deductibles. Aon notes a strong P&C market entering spring 2026, buyer-friendly for most. Political volatility and tariffs add scrutiny, but overall, it's a window for renewals.

Farmers should seize this: Review policies now, lock in broader coverage before hardening returns from cat losses.